Canada’s main stock index gave back some recent gains on Tuesday as investors grew more cautious about prospects for an early deal to end the Iran war, with technology and financial stocks losing ground.
The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended down 177.02 points, or 0.5 per cent, at 34,653.87, after posting four straight days of gains including a record closing high on Monday.
Iran said the United States had violated a ceasefire after the U.S. conducted what it called defensive strikes in southern Iran, while U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said negotiating a deal to halt the conflict could “take a few days.”
“There’s a sense of political exhaustion setting in,” said Shiraz Ahmed, founder at Sartorial Wealth. “But Canadian investors are trying to continue with their long-term growth plans like most other environments we’ve seen in the past.”
The technology sector fell 1.6 per cent, with shares of Constellation Software down 3.2 per cent.
Financials, the most heavily weighted sector by far, ended 0.6 per cent lower.
Canada’s largest banks are due to begin reporting quarterly results on Wednesday. Their profits are expected to have increased despite trade tensions, the Iran war and broader economic uncertainty, but now face tougher tests as more consumers struggle to pay debts and a subdued housing market weighs on their core domestic business.
Consumer staples fell 1.8 per cent and the materials group, which includes metal mining shares, was down 0.9 per cent.
The price of gold fell 1.4 per cent, while oil settled 2.8 per cent lower at US$93.89 a barrel after clawing back some earlier declines.
Energy added 0.3 per cent, recouping some of Monday’s sharp losses.
The S&P 500 hit a record closing high on Tuesday, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq notched further gains, as AI-fueled optimism offset concerns over Middle East peace talks, which were compounded by recent U.S. strikes on Iran.
Semiconductor stocks, which have surged on AI-driven demand, led gains, with Micron gaining sharply, hitting $1 trillion in market value for the first time after UBS increased its price target on the stock to $1,625 from $535.
Upbeat earnings and renewed confidence in AI trade have driven U.S. equities higher despite the ongoing conflict with Iran, with investors now turning their attention to IPOs of some of the largest private AI companies, including SpaceX.
“For those of us that have been working that long, the tech rallies we’ve been seeing this year are reminiscent of the boom at the end of the 1990s,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Northlight Asset Management.
“It’s also possible that some of the lessons that were learned after the tech bubble burst over 25 years ago will prevent the same thing from happening again.”
The market took comfort from comments by U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who said that a deal with Tehran to halt the conflict could “take a few days,” while Iran’s Tasnim news agency reported that Tehran was seeking the release of $24 billion of Iranian funds frozen overseas.
“Even though we don’t have an end of the war yet, there’s a very high likelihood the situation will resolve itself in a peaceful fashion sooner rather than later,” said Adam Sarhan, chief executive of 50 Park Investments.
“But the reality is that earnings are expected to grow even with high inflation. The economy is still growing, and the market is a mirror of the economy to a large extent.”
According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 gained 46.00 points, or 0.62 per cent, to end at 7,519.47 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 311.92 points, or 1.18 per cent, to 26,655.89. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 106.60 points, or 0.21 per cent, to 50,473.10.
The S&P 500, the Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 touched intraday record highs on Tuesday, underscoring the strength of the recent rally.
Brent crude futures climbed about 4 per cent on Tuesday after the U.S. military carried out strikes in Iran, adding to uncertainty over whether a deal would be reached soon to end the war and open up shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
Qualcomm rose after Bloomberg News reported it reached a deal with TikTok owner ByteDance to supply chips, while Marvell Technology ended higher. The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index hit an all-time high.
With the earnings season winding down, first-quarter earnings growth is expected to be 29 per cent year-on-year compared with the 16.1 per cent estimated a month ago, according to LSEG data from Friday.
Reuters