U.S. stocks surged on Wednesday, with all three major indexes registering their biggest daily percentage gains in more than two months, as lower-than-expected December core inflation data and solid earnings from major U.S. banks fueled a rally. It was the biggest gain so far this year for Canadian stocks as well, although the rally was less robust.
The Labor Department said the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) increased the most in nine months as energy costs rose, although a measure of underlying inflation pressures subsided.
Data on Tuesday showed the producer price index (PPI) rose less than expected.
“The CPI number and the PPI number - they’re not super cool, but they’re certainly not hot - and certainly it leads one to believe that the embers of inflation are dying,” said Stephen Massocca, senior vice president at Wedbush Securities in San Francisco.
All three major U.S. indexes scored their biggest daily percentage gains since Nov. 6, as did the Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks, which climbed 1.99%. The S&P/TSX Composite Index saw its biggest gain since Nov. 21.
Stocks have struggled following a post-U.S. election rally, with the S&P 500 falling in four of the previous five weeks. A resilient American economy, nagging inflation and comments from Federal Reserve policymakers have fanned worries about the central bank being less aggressive in cutting interest rates than previously anticipated.
Concerns linger about potential tariffs from President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration that would further stoke inflation.
But expectations for more Fed rate cuts this year increased following the CPI data, along with odds for a cut of at least 25 basis points at the June Fed meeting.
Fed officials said on Wednesday the recent inflation data was helpful but noted uncertainty in the coming months as they await policies from the incoming Trump administration.
The Fed’s Beige Book showed economic activity increased slightly to moderately in late November and December, with employment ticking up and prices rising moderately amid concerns about the potential impact of Trump policies.
The benchmark U.S. Treasury note yield tumbled from a 14-month high of 4.809% hit earlier this week and by late day was down 13.7 basis points at 4.651%. Canada’s 10-year bond yield was down 12.2 basis points at 3.421%, pulling back from an earlier six-month high.
Also providing support were earnings from large U.S. banks, with JPMorgan shares rising 1.97% on a record annual profit as markets rebounded in the fourth quarter. Wells Fargo jumped 6.69% after its fourth-quarter profit beat Street expectations as a surge in dealmaking activity boosted its investment banking business.
“Strong earnings by banks in the U.S. should be positive for the Canadian banks, especially the ones with U.S. exposure,” said Ian Chong, portfolio manager at First Avenue Investment Counsel.
The TSX financials sector rose 1.2% and technology ended 2% higher. The interest-rate sensitive real estate sector added 1.5%.
Overall, the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended up 200.72 points, or 0.8%, at 24,789.30.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 703.27 points, or 1.65%, to 43,221.55, the S&P 500 gained 107.00 points, or 1.83%, at 5,949.91 and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 466.84 points, or 2.45%, to 19,511.23.
Goldman Sachs, up 6.02%, was the biggest boost to the Dow Industrials as it provided about 214 points to the upside, following its best quarterly profit since the third quarter of 2021. Citigroup shot up 6.49% after it swung to a profit in the fourth quarter. The S&P 500 bank index rallied 3.37%.
Relief for investors also came from a long-awaited phased deal to end the war in Gaza after 15 months of conflict.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 5.49-to-1 ratio on the NYSE, and by a 3.19-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and nine new lows, while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 60 new highs and 92 new lows. Volume on U.S. exchanges was 14.26 billion shares, compared with the 15.81 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.
Reuters, Globe staff