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BJ’s Wholesale Club Earnings Call Highlights Growth

Tipranks - Sun Mar 8, 7:14PM CDT

Bj’s Wholesale Club Holdings ((BJ)) has held its Q4 earnings call. Read on for the main highlights of the call.

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BJ’s Wholesale Club’s latest earnings call struck an overall upbeat tone, underscoring solid sales growth, surging membership, and rapid digital adoption alongside disciplined capital returns. Management acknowledged some margin and cost pressures plus macro and tariff uncertainties, but emphasized strong cash generation, robust new‑club performance, and confidence in the company’s long‑term growth algorithm.

Revenue Growth

BJ’s delivered Q4 net sales of about $5.4 billion, up 5.5% year over year, showing the top line continues to expand despite a mixed macro backdrop. Management highlighted steady demand across core categories and continued share gains versus competitors, suggesting the warehouse‑club model remains resilient with value‑seeking consumers.

Comparable Club Sales and Traffic

Total comparable club sales including gasoline rose 1.6% in Q4, while merchandise comps excluding gas advanced a healthier 2.6%. The company logged its 13th straight quarter of market share gains and 16th straight quarter of traffic growth, signaling that member engagement and in‑club visits are still trending in the right direction.

Membership Expansion and Quality

BJ’s added more than 500,000 members over the year, pushing its member base above 8 million and reinforcing the company’s subscription‑like revenue engine. Tenured renewal held at a strong 90% for a fourth year and higher‑tier penetration climbed to 42%, helping lift Q4 membership fee income nearly 11% to around $129.8 million.

Digital Adoption

Digitally enabled sales penetration reached 16% of total sales, with digital revenue jumping 31% in the quarter as members increasingly embrace online and app‑based shopping. The business set record single‑day sales on both Black Friday and Cyber Monday, and more than 90% of digital orders were fulfilled from clubs, leveraging BJ’s physical footprint.

New Club Expansion

The company opened 14 new clubs in fiscal 2025, including seven in Q4, marking its most active year for expansion and signaling confidence in white‑space opportunity. New locations are outperforming expectations on sales, membership, and profit, and BJ’s remains on track to open 25 to 30 new clubs over 2025 and 2026, building a larger earnings base.

Profitability and Cash Returns

Q4 adjusted EBITDA inched up 1% to $266.5 million, while adjusted EPS of $0.96 grew 3.2%, capping a year in which EPS reached $4.40 at the high end of guidance. Over the past three years BJ’s has generated $3.3 billion in adjusted EBITDA and $2.6 billion in operating cash flow, supporting ongoing investment and returns to shareholders.

Capital Allocation and Balance Sheet Strength

Net leverage ended the year at just 0.4 times, providing financial flexibility even as the company accelerates new‑club growth and supply‑chain projects. BJ’s repurchased about 2.6 million shares for $252.4 million during the year, including $117.7 million in Q4, while also paying down more than $300 million of debt and adding roughly $500 million of owned real estate.

Inventory and In‑Stock Improvements

Total inventory rose 3.1% year over year in absolute terms but declined around 2% on a per‑club basis, reflecting tighter, more productive merchandising. In‑stock levels improved by about 40 basis points versus last year, suggesting fewer missed sales and better execution in the supply chain during a critical holiday quarter.

Merchandise Margin Pressure

Merchandise gross margin excluding gasoline slipped about 50 basis points in Q4, driven by a mix shift toward general merchandise and consumer electronics, which carry lower margins. Management also pointed to deliberate price investments in grocery to reinforce BJ’s value proposition, trade short‑term margin for loyalty, and defend market share.

Modest Profitability Gains in Q4

Despite healthy sales and membership growth, Q4 profitability improved only modestly, with EBITDA up 1% and EPS up just over 3%. These gains reflect the combined impact of margin pressure, expansion costs, and higher depreciation, underscoring that earnings leverage is more muted while BJ’s invests in growth.

SG&A Deleverage and Higher Depreciation

SG&A expenses reached $818.2 million in Q4 and slightly deleveraged as a percentage of sales due to an aggressive new‑club opening schedule and ongoing strategic investments. Management also flagged heavier depreciation as additional clubs and infrastructure come online, a near‑term headwind that management frames as necessary for future scale.

Weakness in Home and Seasonal Categories

Home and seasonal products remained soft and were a drag on general merchandise performance in Q4, adding to mix‑driven margin compression. These categories are also more exposed to tariff‑related inventory decisions, which led BJ’s to take a conservative stance, weighing on sales while helping control risk.

Tariff and Macro Uncertainty

Management noted tariff and geopolitical uncertainty could influence inflation and consumer demand in 2026 but chose not to model tariff effects into current guidance. That stance leaves some upside or downside optionality around future results, with investors needing to watch policy developments and customer behavior closely.

Weather‑Related Volatility

Winter storm Fern produced a notable stock‑up benefit as members rushed to prepare, yielding a slight net positive for Q4 sales. However, the storm also drove post‑event pullbacks and some softness into February and the first quarter, adding noise to short‑term trends even as the broader trajectory remains constructive.

Inventory Posture for Discretionary

After keeping discretionary inventory tight last year due to tariff risk, BJ’s is taking a somewhat more aggressive stance this year to capture potential demand. Management acknowledged that these planned discretionary buys raise execution and assortment risk if consumer appetites or tariff policies shift, making merchandising decisions more consequential.

Forward‑Looking Guidance and Outlook

For fiscal 2026, BJ’s expects merchandise comparable sales excluding gas to grow between 2% and 3%, with adjusted EPS in the $4.40 to $4.60 range and an effective tax rate around 27%. Guidance assumes slight SG&A deleverage as new clubs and depreciation ramp, continued club openings, further supply‑chain investment including a new automated distribution center, and ongoing share repurchases, while excluding any tariff impact.

BJ’s Wholesale Club’s earnings call painted a picture of a retailer balancing investment and growth with disciplined financial management and member‑centric strategy. With strong membership metrics, rising digital penetration, ambitious club expansion, and a solid balance sheet, the company appears positioned for steady, if not spectacular, earnings progress even amid margin pressures and macro uncertainty.

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