Soft Crude Oil Prices Likely Ahead: What it Means for ExxonMobil
According to data from OilPrice.com, the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is trading above $60 per barrel, down significantly from the year-ago level. The pricing environment was relatively more favorable a year ago, therefore hurting the upstream business of integrated energy players like Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM.
EIA projects the spot average West Texas Intermediate price for 2026 at $52.21 per barrel, lower than $65.40 for 2025. With XOM generating a king's size of its earnings from upstream operations, can it combat the prevailing softness in oil prices?
The advantageous assets where XOM is operating include the Permian, the most prolific basin in the United States and offshore Guyana resources. Although the assets have cost advantages, lower oil prices are likely to hurt profits. However, unlike many other companies, ExxonMobil can rely on its strong balance sheet.
XOM’s exposure to debt capital is significantly lower than that of the composite stocks belonging to the industry. The integrated energy giant can lean on its robust financials to navigate the low pricing environment, such as securing debt capital on favorable terms when the business scenario turns unfavorable.
CVX & EOG Can Also Brave Business Uncertainty
Chevron CorporationCVX and EOG Resources IncEOG are two leading energy companies with a strong presence in exploration and production activities. The softness in crude prices is also hurting the bottom line of both CVX and EOG.
Like XOM, CVX and EOG have strong balance sheets. Debt to capitalization of Chevron and EOG is relatively lower than the industry, suggesting a considerably lower exposure to debt capital. Hence, they can brave the uncertainty of the business environment.
XOM’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates
Shares of XOM have gained 34.3% over the past year compared with the 23.2% improvement of the composite stocks belonging to the industry.
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From a valuation standpoint, XOM trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 9.62X. This is above the broader industry average of 5.80X.
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The Zacks Consensus Estimate for XOM’s 2026 earnings has seen upward revisions over the past seven days.
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ExxonMobil currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
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Chevron Corporation (CVX): Free Stock Analysis Report
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EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG): Free Stock Analysis Report
This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).
