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08/03/2026 ValuEngine Weekly Market Summary & Commentary

ValuEngine, Inc - Mon Aug 3, 10:14PM CDT

Weekly Market Recap – Week Ending Jul 31, 2026

Markets posted a modestly positive week, with the broad S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 ETFs gaining 1.05% and 0.87%, respectively, while small caps slipped 0.59%. Leadership was concentrated in Consumer Discretionary, which surged 4.74%, followed by Energy at 2.04%, whereas Utilities, Materials, Industrials and Real Estate recorded the steepest declines. Over the past month, energy names remained prominent among the strongest performers, led by Equinor (EQNR), Cenovus Energy (CVE) and Suncor (SU), while Cboe Global Markets (CBOE), Tenet Healthcare (THC) and Phillips 66 (PSX) also delivered gains of nearly 20% or more.

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In the below tables we use major ETF’s as a proxy for some major indexes as well as each of the sector groups into which we divide the overall markets. Tracking these over time provides a more defined picture of the US markets than simply tracking major indexes. This is followed by notable individual stock movers over the past month, and finally our full strategy outlook.

ETF TickerETF NameVE RatingLast Week Start DateLast Week Start PriceWeek End Change
QQQMInvesco NASDAQ 100 ETF57/27/2026280.860.87%
SCHDSchwab US Dividend Equity ETF27/27/202633.430.12%
SPYMState Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF47/27/202686.991.05%
VBVanguard Morningstar Small Cap ETF37/27/2026296.88-0.59%
XLBState Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF17/27/202651.39-1.87%
XLCState Street Com Svc Sel Sec SPDR ETF27/27/2026107.660.54%
XLEState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF37/27/202658.362.04%
XLFState Street Financial Sel Sec SPDR ETF27/27/202656.880.11%
XLIState Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF37/27/2026183.2-1.83%
XLKState Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF57/27/2026174.30.60%
XLPState Street Consumer Staples Sel Sect SPDR ETF17/27/202685.36-0.36%
XLREState Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF27/27/202645.76-1.51%
XLUState Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF17/27/202645.68-2.91%
XLVState Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF37/27/2026163.4-0.52%
XLYState Street Consumer Disc Sel Sect SPDR ETF17/27/2026110.844.74%

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TickerNameVE RatingLast Close PricePrice 30 Days AgoMonthly Difference
EQNREquinor ASA441.132.0628.20%
CVECenovus Energy Incorporation430.1924.3623.93%
SUSuncor Energy Inc (Canada)567.2854.9122.53%
TickerNameVE RatingLast Close PricePrice 30 Days AgoMonthly Difference
CBOECboe Global Markets Inc4310.23245.0826.58%
THCTenet Healthcare Corp5254.78206.1923.57%
PSXPhillips 665211.68177.3319.37%

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Strategy Note:

July saw below-average returns for that particular month, but the most notable postscript was the strength of the continued market rotation from tech into value. While the S&P 500 escaped the month as measured by the lowest cost S&P 500 ETF (SPYM) with an 0.2% gain, the Nasdaq lost more than 5% (QQQ). The StateStreet Select Sector SPDR Technology ETF (XLK) did even worse losing 5.5% in the week. August will be fighting against history for those looking for a rebound. It ranks as the 2nd worst month of the calendar year based on historical data tracked from 2001 through 2025, and technology has generally under-performed.

Meanwhile, the macro focus shifts to the July employment data. Analysts will also be closely watching the employment, jobless claims and non-farm payrolls report for this week. Perhaps more importantly, about 25% of companies in the S&P 500 and 20% in the Russell 3000 are due to report this week.

www.ValuEngine.com (ValuEngine, Inc) is a stock valuation and forecasting service founded by Ivy League finance academics. VE utilizes the most advanced quantitative techniques and analysis available to analyze over 4,200 US stocks, 700 US ETFs, and 1,000 Canadian stocks. Fair market valuations, forecast target prices, and buy/hold/sell recommendations are updated DAILY.

www.ValuEngineCapital.com (ValuEngine Capital Management, LLC) is a Registered Investment Advisory firm that trades a variety of different portfolios based upon the ValuEngine.com research models. Each portfolio has a different risk/return profile, so clients can be placed in strategies that fit their specific investment needs.

BLOG.VALUENGINE.COM for the full history of ValuEngine.com financial blog posts

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