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Obsidian Energy Sets Disciplined 2026 Budget Focused on Oil Growth and Waterflood Expansion

Tipranks - Fri Jan 23, 9:20AM CST

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An update from Obsidian Energy ( (TSE:OBE) ) is now available.

Obsidian Energy has set a 2026 capital budget of $190 million to $230 million, with a midpoint of $210 million, to drill 38 net operated wells split between its Peace River heavy oil and Willesden Green light oil assets, including $22 million earmarked for waterflood investments. The company forecasts average 2026 production of 27,900 to 29,900 boe/d, 73% liquids and roughly balanced between light and heavy oil, and expects to generate about $225 million in funds flow from operations and modest positive free cash flow under conservative oil price assumptions, while keeping flexibility to accelerate or scale back drilling depending on commodity prices and planning to renew its share buyback program in March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OBE) stock is a Hold with a C$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Obsidian Energy stock, see the TSE:OBE Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on TSE:OBE Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:OBE is a Neutral.

The score is mainly held back by weak financial performance (losses, declining TTM revenue, and slightly negative free cash flow) and limited valuation support (negative P/E). A manageable balance sheet with low leverage and steady operating cash flow, plus broadly neutral technical indicators, provide partial offset.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:OBE stock, click here.

More about Obsidian Energy

Obsidian Energy is a Calgary-based oil and gas producer focused on light and heavy oil developments in Alberta, primarily in the Willesden Green/Pembina Cardium and Peace River areas. The company’s operations emphasize liquids-weighted production and enhanced oil recovery initiatives, particularly waterflood projects, to improve long-term decline rates and capital efficiency.

Average Trading Volume: 241,984

Technical Sentiment Signal: Buy

Current Market Cap: C$594.6M

See more insights into OBE stock on TipRanks’ Stock Analysis page.

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