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Why Royal Caribbean Stock Popped on Friday

Motley Fool - Fri Apr 17, 11:26AM CDT

Key Points

The Strait of Hormuz is open for business! With the S&P 500 up 1.2% as of 11:50 a.m. ET, investors seem overjoyed at the news -- and none more so than shareholders of cruise line Royal Caribbean (NYSE: RCL)

Royal Caribbean stock is up 10%.

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4 passengers on a cruise ship hold drinks and celebrate.

Image source: Getty Images.

The world just got safer -- and oil just got cheaper

This morning, Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi announced the Strait of Hormuz is open to "all commercial vessels" for the duration of Israel's ceasefire with Lebanon.

"All commercial vessels" certainly sounds like good news for Royal Caribbean and its cruise liners, but the good news doesn't end there. In response to the Strait's reopening, investors sold off oil stocks and oil futures, sending the cost of the fuel Royal Caribbean needs for its ships down to Davy Jones's Locker.

Or nearly so.

WTI crude oil prices fell more than 12% today, and Brent crude, the international benchmark, dropped more than 10%. Oil's not exactly "cheap" yet -- Brent still costs nearly 50% more than it did at the start of the year. Still, one big headwind hurting Royal Caribbean's stock price just slackened significantly.

What's next for Royal Caribbean stock

Mind you, this could all change in a hurry. Iran seems to have conditioned free passage through the Strait on a tenuous truce between Israel and Lebanon. President Trump says he's keeping the naval blockade on Iran in effect.

There's still a lot up in the air here. Still, with Royal Caribbean shares trading for just 17 times earnings, and analysts pegging the cruise shares for nearly 17% annual long-term growth, it may be time to start buying Royal Caribbean stock again.

Should you buy stock in Royal Caribbean Cruises right now?

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Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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