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A sign reading 'COVID-19 waiting area' at a vaccination centre in the city hall of the 13th arrondissement, in Paris, on Jan. 18, 2021.THOMAS SAMSON/AFP/Getty Images

Marianne Edwards, a British osteopath who has worked in southwestern France for a decade, could not believe what her own doctor, a local general practitioner, told her as COVID-19 tore through the charming stone villages in her region, the Dordogne.

“She actually discouraged me from taking the vaccine,” she said in an interview. “She told me that I should wait awhile.” She found the advice all the more surprising because, as an osteopath, physical distancing is not an option – her job is hands-on.

Dr. Edwards had that conversation with her doctor about a month ago, just as France, a laggard in the European vaccine rollout, administered its first Pfizer-BioNTech dose. She did not question the doctor; instead, she assumed she had encountered another example of puzzling French vaccine hesitancy.

By Wednesday, the French government had inoculated fewer than 1.2 million of its 67 million people, well behind the European Union average, according to Bloomberg’s vaccine tracker. While millions are upset that the rollout has been so slow, millions more don’t see the delay as a problem.

A December Ipsos-World Economic Forum poll found just 40 per cent of French people want to be inoculated against COVID-19. In China, it’s 80 per cent; in Britain, 77 per cent. An Angus Reid poll found 79 per cent of Canadians are willing to be vaccinated.

If a vaccine for COVID-19 were available, I would get it

Survey conducted Jan. 14 to 17

Strongly agree

Somewhat agree

Somewhat disagree

Strongly disagree

Brazil

68%

18

6

8

Britain

66

20

7

7

China

38

45

13

3

Mexico

61

20

13

6

Italy

52

27

12

9

Canada

53

26

12

10

South

Korea

32

47

17

3

Spain

49

28

14

9

Australia

44

32

14

10

Germany

42

25

18

15

Japan

17

47

26

10

U.S.

42

21

16

20

France

29

25

24

21

South

Africa

27

24

22

27

Russia

19

27

21

33

SOURCE: IPSOS

If a vaccine for COVID-19 were available, I would get it

Survey conducted Jan. 14 to 17

Strongly agree

Somewhat agree

Somewhat disagree

Strongly disagree

Brazil

68%

18

6

8

Britain

66

20

7

7

China

38

45

13

3

Mexico

61

20

13

6

Italy

52

27

12

9

Canada

53

26

12

10

South

Korea

32

47

17

3

Spain

49

28

14

9

Australia

44

32

14

10

Germany

42

25

18

15

Japan

17

47

26

10

U.S.

42

21

16

20

France

29

25

24

21

South

Africa

27

24

22

27

Russia

19

27

21

33

SOURCE: IPSOS

If a vaccine for COVID-19 were available, I would get it

Survey conducted Jan. 14 to 17

Somewhat

disagree

Strongly

disagree

Strongly

agree

Somewhat

agree

68%

18

6

8

Brazil

Britain

66

20

7

7

38

45

13

3

China

61

20

13

6

Mexico

52

27

12

9

Italy

Canada

53

26

12

10

South Korea

32

47

17

3

Spain

49

28

14

9

44

32

14

10

Australia

42

25

18

15

Germany

17

47

26

10

Japan

U.S.

42

21

16

20

29

25

24

21

France

27

24

22

27

South Africa

19

27

21

33

Russia

SOURCE: IPSOS

“I am guessing they don’t think the COVID vax is sufficiently tested – they don’t want to be guinea pigs,” Dr. Edwards said. “But it’s illogical and dangerous.”

While the French government officially has little time for vaccine skeptics and is trying to speed up its inoculation program, Health Minister Olivier Véran was accused of pandering to vaccine opponents in late December when he said the government needed to be “educational” in its rollout approach.

Once the COVID-19 vaccine becomes available to you, when would you get the vaccine?

Survey conducted Jan. 14 to 17

Immediately

Less than a month

1 to 3 months

3 to 6 months

6 months or more

Not sure

Brazil

7

62%

11

10

6

4

Britain

65

9

7

4

4

10

China

5

23

22

27

12

11

Mexico

58

15

11

8

6

2

Italy

55

11

9

11

9

5

Canada

50

13

9

9

10

9

South

Korea

14

14

26

21

20

5

Spain

54

13

12

7

7

8

Australia

40

16

15

10

8

10

Germany

55

10

14

8

7

7

Japan

22

13

15

12

15

22

U.S.

53

5

8

9

8

17

France

6

42

14

15

10

12

South

Africa

15

43

15

10

8

8

Russia

13

23

20

19

9

15

SOURCE: IPSOS

Once the COVID-19 vaccine becomes available to you, when would you get the vaccine?

Survey conducted Jan. 14 to 17

Immediately

Less than a month

1 to 3 months

3 to 6 months

6 months or more

Not sure

Brazil

62%

11

10

6

4

7

Britain

65

9

7

4

4

10

China

23

22

27

12

11

5

Mexico

58

15

11

8

6

2

Italy

55

11

9

11

9

5

Canada

50

13

9

9

10

9

South

Korea

14

14

26

21

20

5

Spain

54

13

12

7

7

8

Australia

40

16

15

10

8

10

Germany

55

10

14

8

7

7

Japan

22

13

15

12

15

22

U.S.

53

5

8

9

8

17

France

42

14

15

10

12

6

South

Africa

43

15

10

8

8

15

Russia

23

20

19

9

15

13

SOURCE: IPSOS

Once the COVID-19 vaccine becomes available to you, when would you get the vaccine?

Survey conducted Jan. 14 to 17

Immediately

Less than a month

1 to 3 months

3 to 6 months

6 months or more

Not sure

62%

11

10

6

4

7

Brazil

Britain

65

9

7

4

4

10

China

23

22

27

12

11

5

Mexico

58

15

11

8

6

2

Italy

55

11

9

11

9

5

Canada

50

13

9

9

10

9

14

14

26

21

20

5

South Korea

54

13

12

7

7

8

Spain

40

16

15

10

8

10

Australia

55

10

14

8

7

7

Germany

22

13

15

12

15

22

Japan

U.S.

53

5

8

9

8

17

42

14

15

10

12

6

France

43

15

10

8

8

15

South Africa

Russia

23

20

19

9

15

13

SOURCE: IPSOS

Meanwhile, Anthony Fauci, the director of the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, has been raising his threshold for herd immunity. In recent weeks, he has bumped it to 80 per cent to 85 per cent. In other words, France and other countries that remain hesitant about vaccines are in trouble if only 40 per cent – even 50 per cent, 60 per cent or 70 per cent – of their populations are inoculated.

Gregory Poland, a professor of medicine at the Mayo Clinic and the director of its vaccine research group, said in an interview: “I actually don’t believe that only 40 per cent of French people will get the vaccine.” But he agrees that the percentage will have to rise a lot if France is to put the pandemic in reverse. By mid-week, France had recorded more than three million infections and 74,000 deaths – both figures the third-highest in Europe.

Fear of side effects alone does not readily explain French vaccine hesitancy or the rise of radical antivaccination movements across Europe. Other factors include vaccine scandals and historic distrust of the state and Big Pharma, but also the French government’s failure to develop a compelling communications strategy to promote the efficacy and safety of the COVID-19 vaccines.

On paper, France should be one of the COVID-19 vaccines’ greatest cheerleaders. It has a well-educated population, a health care system that is ranked among the best in the world and a law that requires every child to receive 11 vaccines, including ones for tetanus, polio and hepatitis B.

Yet millions remain leery of the COVID-19 vaccines. While the French have always been suspicious of governments telling them what’s good for them, strong vaccine hesitancy appears to be a relatively recent phenomenon. As recently as 2005, polls showed that 90 per cent of French people supported vaccines, according to various media reports.

So what turned them around?

Certainly the Andrew Wakefield scandal did not help. In 1998, Mr. Wakefield, then a physician, published an article in the British medical journal The Lancet that linked the measles-mumps-rubella vaccine to autism. The research was thoroughly debunked, but The Lancet did not retract the article until 2010.

About the same time, an effort in France to vaccinate children against hepatitis B coincided with a rise in multiple sclerosis cases. But no compelling evidence was found to connect the two.

At least two other incidents helped fuel French mistrust. The first was the 2009 HIN1 (swine flu) scandal, in which the government ordered way too many vaccine doses at a horrendous cost. Most of them went unused, triggering suspicions that the government was in league with Big Pharma.

The second was the Mediator scandal. Mediator was a drug developed by Laboratoires Servier to treat overweight diabetes patients but was widely used as a diet pill by healthy people. The drug was linked to as many as 2,100 deaths.

Dr. Poland of the Mayo Clinic says poor education everywhere has hindered public acceptance of COVID-19 vaccines.

“We don’t have trusted messages from trusted messengers,” Dr. Poland said. “Some people don’t believe COVID is deadly, and some don’t believe the government has a legitimate interest in using vaccines to help them. Both are wrong and hamper efforts to improve immunization rates.”

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