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Petco Earnings Call Signals Turnaround With Caveats

Tipranks - Thu Jun 4, 7:24PM CDT

Petco Health And Wellness Company Inc ((WOOF)) has held its Q1 earnings call. Read on for the main highlights of the call.

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Petco Health and Wellness Co. Inc.’s latest earnings call struck a cautiously optimistic tone, as operational gains began to show up in the numbers while several structural risks still loomed. Management highlighted a return to positive comparable sales, margin expansion, stronger services trends and better liquidity, arguing that its Phase III turnaround is gaining traction despite cash pressure and lingering leverage.

Comparable Sales Turn Positive as Phase III Gains Traction

Comparable sales ticked back into positive territory at +0.7%, with net sales edging up 0.2% to $1.5 billion, signaling early benefits from the company’s Phase III strategy. The modest spread between comps and total sales reflects footprint rationalization, with 16 net store closures already in 2025, including four in the first quarter.

Margins Expand and EBITDA Jumps on Cost Discipline

Profitability improved meaningfully, with gross profit reaching $574.4 million and gross margin expanding 21 basis points to 38.4%. SG&A leveraged by 34 basis points to 36.7% of sales, helping drive a 50.5% year-over-year increase in operating profit to $24.6 million and an 8.8% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $97.3 million.

Services Businesses Emerge as a Core Growth Engine

Petco’s services portfolio continued to outperform, led by vet hospitals, clinics, grooming and training, which management framed as high-quality, recurring revenue streams. Grooming remains a strong annuity, vet productivity and “doctor days” are rising, new Vetco clinic packages are rolling out and free microchips fueled a 71% year-over-year jump in pets microchipped.

Consumables, Cats and Fresh/Frozen Categories Build Momentum

Consumables trends improved sequentially, with notable strength in the cat category where Petco has been investing to become a destination for feline owners. The company plans to ramp new cat offerings in the second quarter, including furniture, beds, bowls and trees, while also expanding freezer capacity to reinforce its leadership in fresh and frozen pet nutrition.

Omnichannel Enhancements and Loyalty Relaunch Support Traffic

Digital friction eased during the quarter, lifting online traffic and strengthening the company’s omnichannel positioning in a competitive pet retail landscape. Buy-online-pickup-in-store demand grew strongly year over year, boosting store visits and cross-sell opportunities, while the Petco Perks loyalty pilot produced encouraging results ahead of a broader relaunch focused on simpler, personalized rewards.

Balance Sheet and Liquidity Trend in the Right Direction

Management emphasized a healthier financial position, with ending cash of $167 million, up roughly $33 million from a year earlier, and total liquidity of $654.4 million. Total debt declined to $1.48 billion, down more than $100 million year over year after opportunistic refinancing extended maturities to 2031, supporting a longer-term leverage reduction goal of about 2 times.

Inventory Management Tightens While Supporting Growth

Inventory discipline remained a notable bright spot as ending inventory fell 1.9% year over year on top of a 5.2% decline last year, even as sales inched higher. Petco is selectively investing in areas like growth categories and freezers for fresh/frozen products while keeping overall stock lean, a combination aimed at protecting margins and cash flow.

Free Cash Flow Weakness Reflects Seasonal and Investment Factors

The quarter did see a free cash flow outflow of $69 million, which management framed as consistent with the company’s historically weakest cash quarter. Timing of capital spending and deliberate inventory investments to support growth contributed to the drag, underscoring that cash generation remains a watch item despite better earnings.

Store Rationalization Continues to Shape the Footprint

Store closures remained part of the optimization agenda, with 16 net closures recorded so far in 2025, including four in the first quarter. Management still expects 15 to 20 net closures for the full year, weighted toward the back half, signaling a strategy focused on trimming underperforming locations rather than expanding square footage.

Market Share Stabilizes but Recovery Has Yet to Start

Executives acknowledged that while the company has moderated prior market share losses, it has not yet entered a clear share-gain phase. The current performance is seen as laying the groundwork for eventual recovery, but investors will likely look for evidence of sustained outperformance versus the broader pet category before re-rating the growth narrative.

External Assumptions and Leverage Still Add Risk

Petco’s guidance bakes in specific macro assumptions, including fuel prices holding near current levels and no additional tariff refunds beyond what was received in May. With total debt still sizeable at $1.48 billion, the path to the stated 2 times leverage target remains a multi-quarter effort and leaves the story sensitive to fuel, tariffs and the rate environment.

Vet Hospital Expansion Pushed Out While Optimization Continues

Despite strong service trends, management is deferring meaningful vet hospital expansion until 2027, prioritizing returns on existing assets first. Around 25 underutilized hospitals will be optimized this year through productivity initiatives and better utilization, with the company aiming to build a higher-ROI platform before resuming more aggressive hospital rollouts.

Guidance Reaffirmed as Management Bets on Steady Execution

Looking ahead, management reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance for net sales to be flat to up 1.5% and adjusted EBITDA of $415 million to $430 million, signaling confidence despite macro uncertainty. Second-quarter expectations call for roughly 0.3% net sales growth and adjusted EBITDA of $110 million to $112 million, under assumptions of steady fuel, current tariff policies and 15 to 20 net store closures.

Petco’s latest call painted a picture of a turnaround that is starting to show up in the numbers, though not yet in market share gains or robust free cash flow. For investors, the story now hinges on whether early wins in services, consumables and omnichannel can overcome leverage and macro sensitivities and ultimately translate into sustained growth and deleveraging.

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