Canadians head to the polls on April 28 in what’s expected to be a consequential vote. Together with CTV and Nanos Research, The Globe and Mail is conducting daily surveys to track which party and leader Canadians prefer.
Methodology
The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 and older over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same questionnaire online. The random sample may be weighted by age and gender according to the latest Canadian census data. Throughout the election, the interviews are compiled into a three-night rolling average of 1,200 interviews, with the oldest group of 400 interviews being replaced by a new group of 400 each evening.
A random survey of 1,256 Canadians is accurate within 2.8 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.
Issues-based polling
- April 14: Feelings about Canada
- April 14: Canada’s tariff response
- April 14: Western separatism
- April 11: Carbon tax on industrial emitters
- April 11: East to West pipeline support
- April 11: Personal finance impact of tariffs
- April 11: Financial support for workers impacted by tariffs
- April 10: Attitudes about the U.S. trade war (Globe and Mail/La Presse)
- April 7: Action on auto tariffs
- April 7: Retaliatory tariffs concern
- April 7: Path forward on trade
- April 7: Focus on Canada-U.S. relations
- April 4: Benefits from tension with U.S.
- April 4: Undecided voters
- April 4: Keeping campaign promises
- April 4: Party leaders and bilingualism
- March 31: Party leaders and disclosures
- March 31: Retaliatory tariffs
Archive of survey results
- April 27: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 27: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 26: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 25: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 24: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 23: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 22: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 21: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 20: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 18: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 17: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 16: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 15: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 14: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 13: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 12: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 11: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 10: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 9: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 8: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 7: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 6: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 5: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 4: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 3: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 2: National ballot and preferred PM
- April 1: National ballot and preferred PM
- March 31: National ballot and preferred PM
- March 30: National ballot and preferred PM
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